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Home/Macro / Fed/Will Atletico Madrid win on 2026-08-09?
PolymarketMacro / FedUpdated 13m ago

Will Atletico Madrid win on 2026-08-09?

Last traded probability
48.5%
+26.0 pts
past 24h
Awaiting resolution

The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Last probability before deadline
48.5%
Event deadline
August 9, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
Venue status
open
Resolution source
flashscore.com

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Atletico Madrid win on 2026-08-09? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 48.5%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Market data as of
August 9, 2026 at 8:16 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
August 9, 2026 at 8:29 AM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
August 9, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
Market status
Awaiting resolution

What this market actually measures

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 9, 2026 If Atletico Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 9, 2026 If Atletico Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market will settle based on the final score of the match, regardless of format (e.g. two halves totaling 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or four periods totaling 120 minutes). The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Resolution source: flashscore.com

Score breakdown — Movement, Liquidity & Trust

ProbCast Trust Score

12/ 100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

ProbCast measures how reliable this market probability appears — not what to trade.

Liquidity79

Depth of the order book and volume

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ProbCast — Odds Reliability

Know whether prediction-market odds can be trusted. ProbCast analyzes liquidity, market activity, spreads, and price movement to help distinguish meaningful repricing from thin-market noise.

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Data updated
13m ago

Market data

24h volume

$64.2K

Liquidity

$98.7K

Total volume

$85.6K

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
—
Spread
1.0 pts
Best bid
48.0%
Best ask
49.0%
7-day range
17.0% – 52.5%
Resolves
Aug 9, 2026
Resolution
flashscore.com

Trust breakdown

12/100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

  • Liquidity anchor+55
  • Price steadiness+0
  • Past deadline-25
  • Limited history-8
  • Big move, weak support-10
Trust score12 / 100
How these scores work →
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ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

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Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

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