Will the sun rise tomorrow? (apocalypse hedging)
Final price
98.6%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 98.6%.
- Final market price
- 98.6%
- Event deadline
- August 9, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will the sun rise tomorrow? (apocalypse hedging) The final Manifold price was 98.6%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 98.6%.
- Market data as of
- August 9, 2026 at 12:14 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 9, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 73d ago
What this market actually measures
hedge against an apocalypse if the sun doesnt rise tomorrow, at least you get free mana
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
hedge against an apocalypse if the sun doesnt rise tomorrow, at least you get free mana
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