Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?80%17.0US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?28%13.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?98%12.2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?25%4.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?94%10.0Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?96%7.7Ethereum price at Jul 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?90%24.5AOC will be first female POTUS?19%6.3Will Gavin Newsom be the favorite for Democratic Nominee on Dec. 31, 2026? [Per Polymarket Data]48%19.2On August 7th will Claude Opus 5 be above GPT 5.6 Sol on LLM agent arena?39%0.9Will any EA charity get a grant more than twice the median grant for Project for Awesome 2027?15%24.9Kimi K4 released in 2026?39%11.0Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?2%1.3Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?13%1.5Ethereum price at Jul 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?8%19.0Will an "export-control chip security" bill like the Chip Security Act become law in 2026?46%33.3Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?80%17.0US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?28%13.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?98%12.2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?25%4.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?94%10.0Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?96%7.7Ethereum price at Jul 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?90%24.5AOC will be first female POTUS?19%6.3Will Gavin Newsom be the favorite for Democratic Nominee on Dec. 31, 2026? [Per Polymarket Data]48%19.2On August 7th will Claude Opus 5 be above GPT 5.6 Sol on LLM agent arena?39%0.9Will any EA charity get a grant more than twice the median grant for Project for Awesome 2027?15%24.9Kimi K4 released in 2026?39%11.0Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?2%1.3Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?13%1.5Ethereum price at Jul 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?8%19.0Will an "export-control chip security" bill like the Chip Security Act become law in 2026?46%33.3

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Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale? — 100.0% odds | ProbCast