Ethereum Up or Down on September 9?
The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Last probability before deadline
- 0.5%
- Event deadline
- September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
- Venue status
- open
- Resolution source
- binance.com
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Ethereum Up or Down on September 9? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 0.5%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Market data as of
- September 9, 2026 at 12:02 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 9, 2026 at 12:08 PM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
- Market status
- Awaiting resolution
- Data updated
- 5m ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 9 '26 12:00 …
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution source: binance.com
Market data
24h volume
$91.7K
Liquidity
$820.7
Total volume
$91.8K
- Category
- Crypto
- Venue
- Polymarket
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- 0.0 pts
- Best bid
- 0.5%
- Best ask
- 1.0%
- 7-day range
- 0.5% – 37.0%
- Resolves
- Sep 9, 2026
- Resolution
- binance.com