Will there be another Div. 4 in Codeforces before July 1st
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 11.4%.
- Final market price
- 11.4%
- Event deadline
- July 1, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will there be another Div. 4 in Codeforces before July 1st The final Manifold price was 11.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 11.4%.
- Market data as of
- July 1, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:01 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 1, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 66d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if Codeforces hosts at least one official contest designated as "Div. 4" starting between June 11, 2026, and June 30, 2026, at 23:59 UTC (i.e., before July 1, 2026).
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if Codeforces hosts at least one official contest designated as "Div. 4" starting between June 11, 2026, and June 30, 2026, at 23:59 UTC (i.e., before July 1, 2026). The market resolves to NO if no such contest is held within this timeframe. Postponements/Cancellations: If a Div. 4 contest is scheduled to start before July 1 but is postponed to July 1 or later, or cancelled entirely, it will not qualify for a YES resolution. Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined using the official list of contests on the Codeforces Contests page.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ1
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ211.1
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 11.4%
- Resolves
- Jul 1, 2026