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ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 66d ago

Will there be another Div. 4 in Codeforces before July 1st

Final price
11.4%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 11.4%.

Final market price
11.4%
Event deadline
July 1, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will there be another Div. 4 in Codeforces before July 1st The final Manifold price was 11.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 11.4%.

Market data as of
July 1, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:01 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
July 1, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
66d ago

What this market actually measures

Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if Codeforces hosts at least one official contest designated as "Div. 4" starting between June 11, 2026, and June 30, 2026, at 23:59 UTC (i.e., before July 1, 2026).

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if Codeforces hosts at least one official contest designated as "Div. 4" starting between June 11, 2026, and June 30, 2026, at 23:59 UTC (i.e., before July 1, 2026). The market resolves to NO if no such contest is held within this timeframe. Postponements/Cancellations: If a Div. 4 contest is scheduled to start before July 1 but is postponed to July 1 or later, or cancelled entirely, it will not qualify for a YES resolution. Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined using the official list of contests on the Codeforces Contests page.

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ1

Liquidity

Ṁ100

Total volume

Ṁ211.1

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
11.4%
Resolves
Jul 1, 2026

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