Will the Midjourney Scanner be higher quality than an MRI?
Too little market data to assess this move — treat the probability with caution.
This venue reports too little volume or book data for this market to judge the trading behind the price.
How credible was the move?
Three separate questions — a move can be genuine while the latest price is still settling. Methodology →
Move validity
Is the move backed by real trading and depth?
Insufficient dataThis venue reports too little volume or book data for this market to judge the trading behind the price.
Consensus stability
Has the market settled at the new probability?
StableThe probability has held near its current level over the past several hours.
Contract clarity
Will the rules resolve without ambiguity?
HighThe resolution rules are relatively specific, with a named source and a defined deadline.
From the latest trade tape (most recent 200 prints) — a live activity sample, not a lifetime total.
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if, by December 31, 2028, any of the following occur: The FDA (or equivalent major medical regulatory body) grants clearance or approval to the Midjourney Scanner (or Midjourney Medical scanner) with documentation explicitly stating its imaging resolution or diagnostic performance is superior to standard 1.5T or 3T MRI machines for full-body scanning. A peer-reviewe…
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if, by December 31, 2028, any of the following occur: The FDA (or equivalent major medical regulatory body) grants clearance or approval to the Midjourney Scanner (or Midjourney Medical scanner) with documentation explicitly stating its imaging resolution or diagnostic performance is superior to standard 1.5T or 3T MRI machines for full-body scanning. A peer-reviewed clinical study published in a major imaging journal (e.g., Radiology, Journal of Magnetic Resonance Imaging, or The Lancet) concludes that the Midjourney Scanner achieves superior spatial resolution, contrast resolution, or overall diagnostic quality compared to a standard 1.5T MRI. There is a broad consensus among professional medical imaging societies (such as the Radiological Society of North America - RSNA) declaring its imaging quality to be superior to standard MRIs. If no such official regulatory declaration, peer-reviewed clinical study, or expert consensus has verified superior quality/resolution over a standard 1.5T or 3T MRI by December 31, 2028, this market will resolve to NO. The primary sources for verification will be the FDA Devices Database, publications in Radiology, or official press releases from Midjourney Medical and reputable medical science outlets. Background On June 17, 2026, Midjourney founder David Holz announced "Midjourney Medical" and its first hardware project, the Midjourney Scanner. Unlike traditional MRI machines, which use heavy magnets and take up to 90 minutes, the Midjourney Scanner is a water-immersion device utilizing approximately 358,000 ultrasonic sensors (built on Butterfly Network's ultrasound-on-chip technology) to perform a full-body scan in just 60 seconds. Holz claimed that the scanner is "in many ways superior to even MRI machines" and aims to deliver comparable or superior image quality without radiation or magnets. However, practicing radiologists have pointed out that ultrasound has inherent physical limitations (such as an inability to reliably penetrate bone or image air-filled organs like lungs), making full-body diagnostic parity with MRIs a significant engineering hurdle. Midjourney plans to focus initially on body composition mapping at a "Midjourney Spa" concept targeted to open in San Francisco in 2027, with diagnostic FDA clearances planned as a long-term goal. Update 2026-06-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For YES resolution, the Midjourney Scanner must demonstrate superior quality for broad multi-organ scanning, not just for a specific organ or application (e.g., breast cancer imaging alone would not be sufficient).
What could move this market next?
- The market's deadline arrivesDecember 31, 2028 at 11:17 AM ET
The contract must resolve based on what has happened by this date.
Derived from the contract's own mechanics as of Aug 15, 10:31 AM ET. ProbCast does not list scheduled meetings, announcements, or data releases it cannot verify.
Advanced analysis (experimental)
Research signals — these models are still accumulating the history needed for full validation, and they can disagree with the headline read. Model confidence: low · expected error ±21 pts.
What's happening
Thin book and/or wide spread. Small orders can move this price disproportionately, so any single print is noisy and easily overread.