Will "Oasis: Don’t Look Back In Anger" earn more than $22M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their openi
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Last probability before deadline
- 17.5%
- Event deadline
- September 15, 2026 at 8:06 PM ET
- Venue status
- closed
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will "Oasis: Don’t Look Back In Anger" earn more than $22M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their openi The last traded Manifold probability before the deadline was 17.5%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Market data as of
- September 15, 2026 at 10:08 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 25, 2026 at 12:48 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 15, 2026 at 8:06 PM ET
- Market status
- Awaiting resolution
- Data updated
- 39d ago
What this market actually measures
The question resolves as yes if the gross domestic box office revenue that the movie "Oasis: Don’t Look Back in Anger" earns in its opening weekend exceeds 22 million US dollars according to https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Oasis-Dont-Look-Back-in-Anger-(2026). If The Numbers fail to report the number within two weeks of a movie's release date other credible sources may be considered.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
The question resolves as yes if the gross domestic box office revenue that the movie "Oasis: Don’t Look Back in Anger" earns in its opening weekend exceeds 22 million US dollars according to https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Oasis-Dont-Look-Back-in-Anger-(2026). If The Numbers fail to report the number within two weeks of a movie's release date other credible sources may be considered.