Will anyone other than the creator place a bet on this market before it closes?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Final market price
- 99.0%
- Event deadline
- August 27, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 99.0%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will anyone other than the creator place a bet on this market before it closes? The final Manifold price was 99.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 25, 2026 at 10:49 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:41 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 27, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 56d ago
What this market actually measures
Simple bet: if even one person besides the creator places a bet here (YES or NO, doesn't matter) before close, this resolves YES. Prove it right - or wrong.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Simple bet: if even one person besides the creator places a bet here (YES or NO, doesn't matter) before close, this resolves YES. Prove it right - or wrong. Resolves by checking whether any bets besides the creator's own appear in this market's history at close.