[incentive market] I apply for (thing) in next 72 hours
Final price
93.7%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 93.7%.
- Final market price
- 93.7%
- Event deadline
- August 11, 2026 at 6:07 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
[incentive market] I apply for (thing) in next 72 hours The final Manifold price was 93.7%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 93.7%.
- Market data as of
- August 14, 2026 at 3:06 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:41 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 11, 2026 at 6:07 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 68d ago
What this market actually measures
a specific thing I want to apply for. I won't prove, by betting you are trusting me on resolution
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
a specific thing I want to apply for. I won't prove, by betting you are trusting me on resolution
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