US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?67%5.5US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?56%8.5US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?44%4.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?85%5.5US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?64%2.5Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?23%28.0Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?52%12.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?65%3.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?75%3.0Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?68%17.0"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?41%34.1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?19%12.5Will Anthropic stop deprecating models and make old ones available for access by the end of the year?10%20.8Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?7%1.0Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?8%3.4NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?8%1.5

Loading dashboard…

Ethereum price at Aug 3, 2026 at 9pm EDT? — 93.0% odds | ProbCast