ProbCastOdds Reliability
TodayTop MoversMarketsWhat ChangedAccuracyWatchlist
⌘K
Checking…
Hot Markets
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?63%▲25.1Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?38%▲18.1Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?30%▲11.5Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?84%▲9.0Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22?56%▼15.5Fed rate hike in 2026?55%▲5.0Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?51%▼21.7Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?62%▲7.0Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?20%▲9.4Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?14%▼26.7Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?9%▼5.0Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?9%▲3.9Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?25%▼4.0Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?14%▲11.0Ethereum Up or Down on August 22?76%▲9.8Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?60%▲5.0
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?63%▲25.1Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?38%▲18.1Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?30%▲11.5Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?84%▲9.0Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22?56%▼15.5Fed rate hike in 2026?55%▲5.0Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?51%▼21.7Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?62%▲7.0Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?20%▲9.4Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?14%▼26.7Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?9%▼5.0Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?9%▲3.9Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?25%▼4.0Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?14%▲11.0Ethereum Up or Down on August 22?76%▲9.8Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?60%▲5.0
Home/Crypto/Ethereum price at Aug 22, 2026 at 3am EDT?
KalshiCryptoUpdated 11m ago

Ethereum price at Aug 22, 2026 at 3am EDT?

Last traded probability
90.0%
+77.5 pts
past 24h
Awaiting resolution

The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Last probability before deadline
90.0%
Event deadline
August 22, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET
Venue status
open
Resolution source
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERT…

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Ethereum price at Aug 22, 2026 at 3am EDT? The last traded Kalshi probability before the deadline was 90.0%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Market data as of
August 22, 2026 at 2:58 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
August 22, 2026 at 3:09 AM ET
Source
Kalshi
Event deadline
August 22, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET
Market status
Awaiting resolution

What this market actually measures

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 3 AM EDT is between 2435-2439.99 at 3 AM EDT on Aug 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 3 AM EDT is between 2435-2439.99 at 3 AM EDT on Aug 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution source: If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERT…

Market data

24h volume

$337.9

Liquidity

$0

Total volume

Score breakdown — Movement, Liquidity & Trust

ProbCast Trust Score

0/ 100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

ProbCast measures how reliable this market probability appears — not what to trade.

Liquidity

Insufficient data — this venue reports no volume or book depth for this market, so liquidity can't be measured (unknown, not necessarily poor).

Related markets

Ethereum price at Aug 22, 2026 at 3am EDT?

9%YESTrust 0
Kalshi$521 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 22, 2026 at 3am EDT?

7%YESTrust 0
Kalshi$358 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 22, 2026 at 3am EDT?

2%YESTrust 0
ProbCast — Odds Reliability

Know whether prediction-market odds can be trusted. ProbCast analyzes liquidity, market activity, spreads, and price movement to help distinguish meaningful repricing from thin-market noise.

Questions? Chat with us on Telegram
TodayTop MoversEventsAll MarketsWhat ChangedVenue DivergencePolymarket vs KalshiMethodologyCoverageMeta's ArenaWatchlistTerms of UsePrivacyCrypto
Data updated
11m ago

$698.3

Category
Crypto
Venue
Kalshi
Open interest
$116.1
Spread
6.0 pts
Best bid
87.0%
Best ask
93.0%
7-day range
11.0% – 90.0%
Resolves
Aug 22, 2026
Resolution
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERT…

Trust breakdown

0/100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

  • Liquidity anchor+23
  • Price steadiness+0
  • Missing market data-15
  • Thin liquidity-20
  • Wide spread-15
  • Past deadline-25
  • Limited history-8
  • Big move, weak support-10
Trust score0 / 100
How these scores work →
View on Kalshi

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

Kalshi
$321.4 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 22, 2026 at 3am EDT?

2%YESTrust 0
Kalshi$159 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 22, 2026 at 3am EDT?

2%YESTrust 0
Kalshi$124 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 22, 2026 at 3am EDT?

4%YESTrust 0
Kalshi$116 24h
Macro / Fed
Politics
AI / Tech
Geopolitics

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. ProbCast is not a betting platform, exchange, or broker and does not provide buy or sell recommendations. Intended for users 18+; availability of prediction-market activity varies by jurisdiction. Venue data is aggregated from third parties and may be delayed or inaccurate. See our Terms of Use.

Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

© 2026 ProbCast · [email protected]