Event · resolves around 2026-09-16

Fed's — rate decision · Sep 2026

6 related contracts across Kalshi · $3.4K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.


Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	97%	0.0 pts	$2.9K	50	22	Worth watching
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	99%	0.0 pts	$308	45	19	Worth watching
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	67%	+0.5 pts	$180.1	43	14	Worth watching
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.00% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	1%	0.0 pts	$33	36	12	Worth watching
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	2%	0.0 pts	$25	40	15	Worth watching
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	99%	0.0 pts	$18	39	14	Worth watching

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.

Event · resolves around 2026-09-16

Fed's — rate decision · Sep 2026

6 related contracts across Kalshi · $3.4K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.


Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	97%	0.0 pts	$2.9K	50	22	Worth watching
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	99%	0.0 pts	$308	45	19	Worth watching
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	67%	+0.5 pts	$180.1	43	14	Worth watching
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.00% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	1%	0.0 pts	$33	36	12	Worth watching
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	2%	0.0 pts	$25	40	15	Worth watching
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	99%	0.0 pts	$18	39	14	Worth watching