Event · resolves around 2026-09-16
Fed's — rate decision · Sep 2026
5 related contracts across Kalshi · $31.8K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? | Kalshi | 44% | -10.0 pts | 6 | Likely noise |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? | Kalshi | 2% | 0.0 pts | 34 | Developing |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? | Kalshi | 1% | 0.0 pts | 9 | Developing |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? | Kalshi | 100% | 0.0 pts | 7 | Developing |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? | Kalshi | 100% | 0.0 pts | 5 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.