Event · resolves around 2026-09-30
Brent — price targets · Sep 2026
2 related contracts across Manifold. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will Brent crude settle at or above $100 on September 30, 2026? | Manifold | 41% | 0.0 pts | 14 | Developing |
| Will Alibaba close at or above HK$123 on September 30, 2026? | Manifold | 46% | +5.8 pts | 0 | Likely noise |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.