Will Brent crude settle at or above $100 on September 30, 2026?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 26.0%.
- Final market price
- 26.0%
- Event deadline
- September 30, 2026 at 2:30 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Brent crude settle at or above $100 on September 30, 2026? The final Manifold price was 26.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 26.0%.
- Market data as of
- October 2, 2026 at 11:06 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 30, 2026 at 2:30 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 18d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves YES if the official ICE settlement price for the front-month Brent crude futures contract on September 30, 2026, is at least $100.00 per barrel. Otherwise resolves NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves YES if the official ICE settlement price for the front-month Brent crude futures contract on September 30, 2026, is at least $100.00 per barrel. Otherwise resolves NO. Intraday trades, spot quotes, and unofficial prices do not count. Use the contract treated by ICE as front-month on that date. Primary source: ICE Brent Crude Futures. The market closes twelve hours before the expected settlement. Related markets Will Canada delay or cancel its September 8 retaliatory tariffs? Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone at its September 2026 event? Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2026 PS–Place Publique presidential primary? Will Chang'e-7 launch by August 31, 2027? Will the Nevada Hawk Fire exceed 20,000 acres before reaching 90% containment? Will the Netherlands appear on the initial Eurovision 2027 participant list? Will King Harald resume official duties by September 30, 2026? Will Alibaba close at or above HK$123 on September 30, 2026? Which Cincinnati finalist will go furthest at the 2026 US Open?