ProbCastOdds Reliability
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?39%▲28.7Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?48%▲1.2Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?52%▲2.0Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?97%▲21.2Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?64%▲37.0Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?79%▲21.5Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?11%▲8.4Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?70%▲10.8Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?75%▲45.0Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?38%▲12.5Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?50%▼6.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?31%▲9.4Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?32%▼58.0Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?4%▼0.8Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?3%▼6.5Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?49%▲5.0

Event · resolves around 2026-09-22

Bitcoin — price targets · Sep 2026

4 related contracts across Polymarket · $161.8K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?Polymarket31%+9.4 pts27Likely noise
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22?Polymarket92%-0.1 pts44Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 22?Polymarket98%+0.1 pts43Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 22?Polymarket99%+0.2 pts44Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.