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Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?10%▼42.5 Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?24%▲22.1 Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?51%▲23.3 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?38%▼17.0 Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?86%▲49.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 20?42%▲34.3 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 20?93%▲34.4 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?41%▼4.5 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?4%▼12.7 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?18%▲11.8 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?40%▼7.9 Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?11%▲5.9 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?25%▼10.0 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?59%▲11.0 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?36%▲11.8 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?13%▼6.1

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?10%▼42.5 Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?24%▲22.1 Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?51%▲23.3 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?38%▼17.0 Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?86%▲49.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 20?42%▲34.3 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 20?93%▲34.4 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?41%▼4.5 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?4%▼12.7 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?18%▲11.8 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?40%▼7.9 Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?11%▲5.9 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?25%▼10.0 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?59%▲11.0 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?36%▲11.8 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?13%▼6.1

Event · resolves around 2026-08-21

Ethereum — price targets · Aug 2026

2 related contracts across Polymarket and Manifold · $90.3K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.


Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 21?	Polymarket	Crypto	77%	+2.4 pts	$90.3K	74	14	Likely noise
Will SPY close above $776.34 on Friday, August 21, 2026?	Manifold	Macro / Fed	21%	0.0 pts	Ṁ129.5	49	18	Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.