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Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?36%▼6.0Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?99%▲13.1US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?69%▼8.0Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?41%▲2.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?36%▼1.5Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?59%▼3.0Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?7%▼44.1Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19?5%▼5.3Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?50%▼8.1US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?2%▼7.5Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?20%▼0.3US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?10%▼3.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?52%▼5.0"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?17%▼30.6Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?4%▼0.9Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?27%▼6.0
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?36%▼6.0Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?99%▲13.1US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?69%▼8.0Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?41%▲2.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?36%▼1.5Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?59%▼3.0Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?7%▼44.1Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19?5%▼5.3Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?50%▼8.1US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?2%▼7.5Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?20%▼0.3US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?10%▼3.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?52%▼5.0"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?17%▼30.6Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?4%▼0.9Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?27%▼6.0

Event · resolves around 2026-08-19

Bitcoin — price targets · Aug 2026

5 related contracts across Polymarket · $328.9K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 19?PolymarketCrypto100%0.0 pts$78.9K7867Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19?PolymarketCrypto5%-5.3 pts$66.2K7945Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19?PolymarketCrypto1%+0.1 pts$66K7865Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 19?PolymarketCrypto99%+0.5 pts$62K7862Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 19?PolymarketCrypto100%0.0 pts$55.8K7867Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.

ProbCast — Odds Reliability

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