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Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?1%▼4.5US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?44%▼9.0US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?24%▼3.0Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?71%▲11.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?38%▲6.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?14%▲3.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?18%▲3.0Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?39%▼6.0Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?39%▲2.0Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?56%▲7.8US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?25%▲7.5Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?79%▲3.0Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 11?13%▼13.4Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?77%▲6.0Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?56%▲2.0Will Anthropic somehow patch the Opus 5 base-model-like behavior from "---" prompts (or pull the model) by September 1?68%▼8.5
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?1%▼4.5US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?44%▼9.0US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?24%▼3.0Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?71%▲11.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?38%▲6.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?14%▲3.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?18%▲3.0Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?39%▼6.0Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?39%▲2.0Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?56%▲7.8US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?25%▲7.5Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?79%▲3.0Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 11?13%▼13.4Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?77%▲6.0Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?56%▲2.0Will Anthropic somehow patch the Opus 5 base-model-like behavior from "---" prompts (or pull the model) by September 1?68%▼8.5

Event · resolves around 2026-08-12

Bitcoin — price targets · Aug 2026

2 related contracts across Polymarket · $115.9K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 12?PolymarketCrypto100%-0.1 pts$58.6K7765Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 12?PolymarketCrypto0%0.0 pts$57.4K7967Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.

ProbCast — Odds Reliability

Know whether prediction-market odds can be trusted. ProbCast analyzes liquidity, market activity, spreads, and price movement to help distinguish meaningful repricing from thin-market noise.

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