Event · resolves around 2026-07-31

CPI — macro release · Jul 2026

19 related contracts across Kalshi · $41.8K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.


Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	58%	-2.5 pts	$6.7K	54	0	Likely noise
Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	88%	-0.5 pts	$6.6K	54	8	Developing
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	56%	-1.0 pts	$4.9K	51	14	Developing
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	89%	+0.5 pts	$3.9K	53	16	Developing
Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	18%	-2.0 pts	$3.8K	53	9	Developing
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	17%	-2.5 pts	$3.4K	49	0	Developing
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	6%	+1.0 pts	$3.2K	53	16	Developing
Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	6%	-6.0 pts	$2.8K	51	4	Developing
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.6% for the year ending in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	1%	-0.5 pts	$2.4K	51	17	Developing
Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	1%	-1.0 pts	$1K	50	13	Developing
Will CPI rise more than -0.3% in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	99%	-0.5 pts	$920	45	11	Developing
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.8% for the year ending in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	3%	+0.5 pts	$566	42	0	Developing
Will CPI rise more than -0.4% in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	100%	0.0 pts	$431	47	18	Developing
Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	1%	0.0 pts	$334	47	9	Developing
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.7% for the year ending in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	4%	+3.0 pts	$300	37	0	Likely noise
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.2% for the year ending in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	1%	0.0 pts	$187	46	17	Developing
Will CPI rise more than -0.2% in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	98%	0.0 pts	$145	38	0	Developing
Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	1%	0.0 pts	$117	45	17	Developing
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	96%	0.0 pts	$53.7	43	14	Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.

Event · resolves around 2026-07-31

CPI — macro release · Jul 2026

19 related contracts across Kalshi · $41.8K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.


Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	58%	-2.5 pts	$6.7K	54	0	Likely noise
Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	88%	-0.5 pts	$6.6K	54	8	Developing
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	56%	-1.0 pts	$4.9K	51	14	Developing
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	89%	+0.5 pts	$3.9K	53	16	Developing
Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	18%	-2.0 pts	$3.8K	53	9	Developing
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	17%	-2.5 pts	$3.4K	49	0	Developing
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	6%	+1.0 pts	$3.2K	53	16	Developing
Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	6%	-6.0 pts	$2.8K	51	4	Developing
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.6% for the year ending in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	1%	-0.5 pts	$2.4K	51	17	Developing
Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	1%	-1.0 pts	$1K	50	13	Developing
Will CPI rise more than -0.3% in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	99%	-0.5 pts	$920	45	11	Developing
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.8% for the year ending in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	3%	+0.5 pts	$566	42	0	Developing
Will CPI rise more than -0.4% in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	100%	0.0 pts	$431	47	18	Developing
Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	1%	0.0 pts	$334	47	9	Developing
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.7% for the year ending in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	4%	+3.0 pts	$300	37	0	Likely noise
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.2% for the year ending in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	1%	0.0 pts	$187	46	17	Developing
Will CPI rise more than -0.2% in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	98%	0.0 pts	$145	38	0	Developing
Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	1%	0.0 pts	$117	45	17	Developing
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in July 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	96%	0.0 pts	$53.7	43	14	Developing