Event · resolves around 2031-01-03
Angie Craig — election · Jan 2031
2 related contracts across Manifold. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will Angie Craig be appointed to Amy Klobuchars Senate Seat? | ManifoldPlay money | 47% | +19.9 pts | 11 | Likely noise |
| Will Angie Craig be appointed to Amy Klobuchars Senate Seat? | ManifoldPlay money | 49% | +22.8 pts | 3 | Likely noise |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.