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Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?68%▲35.9Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?39%▲22.1Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?27%▼39.0Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?80%▲12.0Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?8%▼24.5Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?83%▲16.0Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?65%▲12.4Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?11%▲5.1Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?34%▼3.5Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?20%▲8.5Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?10%▼24.0Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?65%▼2.9Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?17%▼11.3Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?32%▲7.0Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?90%▲22.5Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?0%▼5.8
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?68%▲35.9Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?39%▲22.1Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?27%▼39.0Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?80%▲12.0Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?8%▼24.5Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?83%▲16.0Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?65%▲12.4Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?11%▲5.1Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?34%▼3.5Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?20%▲8.5Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?10%▼24.0Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?65%▼2.9Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?17%▼11.3Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?32%▲7.0Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?90%▲22.5Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?0%▼5.8

Event · resolves around 2028-12-31

Natalie Harp — election · Dec 2028

2 related contracts across Manifold. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Natalie Harp births President Donald J. Trump's child by EOY 2028?ManifoldPolitics6%-20.5 ptsṀ404.3500Likely noise
Will Jim Justice run for Governor of West Virginia in 2028?ManifoldPolitics45%-4.8 ptsṀ10411Likely noise

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.

ProbCast — Odds Reliability

Know whether prediction-market odds can be trusted. ProbCast analyzes liquidity, market activity, spreads, and price movement to help distinguish meaningful repricing from thin-market noise.

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