ProbCast
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?90%▲15.0Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?23%▼21.0Israel closes its airspace by July 31?20%▼17.5Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?62%▲8.0Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?32%▼6.0Israel closes its airspace by July 24?1%▼7.8Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?5%▼9.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?81%▲0.0Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?30%▼1.0Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?94%▲0.0What does the "G" stand for in "ChatGPT" (and LLMs like GPT-4)?99%▲44.2Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?74%▲0.2Will a Mythos-tier-at-cybersecurity open-source model be released before end of 2027?64%▲34.1Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.9% for the year ending in July 2026?1%▲0.02 of the top 5 AI's are open source at eoy 2027? (ECI)26%▼24.0Ethereum price at Jul 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?65%▲8.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?90%▲15.0Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?23%▼21.0Israel closes its airspace by July 31?20%▼17.5Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?62%▲8.0Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?32%▼6.0Israel closes its airspace by July 24?1%▼7.8Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?5%▼9.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?81%▲0.0Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?30%▼1.0Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?94%▲0.0What does the "G" stand for in "ChatGPT" (and LLMs like GPT-4)?99%▲44.2Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?74%▲0.2Will a Mythos-tier-at-cybersecurity open-source model be released before end of 2027?64%▲34.1Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.9% for the year ending in July 2026?1%▲0.02 of the top 5 AI's are open source at eoy 2027? (ECI)26%▼24.0Ethereum price at Jul 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?65%▲8.0

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