ProbCastOdds Reliability
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?100%▲31.8US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?30%▲17.0Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?77%▲20.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?17%▲7.0Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?44%▲12.3US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?45%▲6.5Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?48%▲1.0US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?54%▲22.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?24%▲4.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?17%▼16.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?53%▲30.1Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?79%▲47.0Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?23%▼16.2Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?98%▲10.4Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?62%▲6.7Opus 5.2 released in September?2%▼12.8

Event · resolves around 2028-01-01

Xavier Bertrand — election · Jan 2028

4 related contracts across Polymarket and Kalshi · $270.2K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket0%0.0 pts91Developing
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket0%0.0 pts86Developing
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket1%+0.6 pts87Developing
Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2028?Kalshi66%0.0 pts34Developing

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