Event · resolves around 2028-01-01

BioAge's BGE- — election · Jan 2028

2 related contracts across Kalshi and Manifold · $1.5K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.


Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	62%	-1.5 pts	$1.5K	54	29	Developing
Will BioAge's BGE-102 achieve its primary endpoint in the Phase 2 QUELL-CV trial before January 1, 2028?	Manifold	Macro / Fed	52%	0.0 pts	Ṁ46.2	43	17	Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.

Event · resolves around 2028-01-01

BioAge's BGE- — election · Jan 2028

2 related contracts across Kalshi and Manifold · $1.5K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.


Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	62%	-1.5 pts	$1.5K	54	29	Developing
Will BioAge's BGE-102 achieve its primary endpoint in the Phase 2 QUELL-CV trial before January 1, 2028?	Manifold	Macro / Fed	52%	0.0 pts	Ṁ46.2	43	17	Developing