ProbCastOdds Reliability
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?35%▲3.0Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?41%▼3.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?39%▲2.0Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?24%▼6.3Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?65%▼3.0Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?18%▼2.9US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?63%▲1.0Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?59%▼27.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?95%▲19.5Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?49%▼8.2Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?68%▲1.0Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?67%▼6.5Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?14%▼17.0Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?15%▲2.8Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?62%▼8.5Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?10%▼5.0

Event · resolves around 2026-10-24

Republicans — election · Oct 2026

2 related contracts across Polymarket · $317.1K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Polymarket33%+6.0 pts69Confirmed move
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Polymarket67%-6.5 pts64Confirmed move

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