ProbCastOdds Reliability
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?99%▲18.3Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?94%▲24.1Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?60%▲18.0US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?55%▲10.5Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?39%▼12.5Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?82%▲7.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?23%▼13.0Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?49%▲4.0US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?91%▲8.5US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?81%▲6.5Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 28?16%▼32.5Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?85%▲11.5Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?26%▼3.0Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?54%▼4.0At least 5 Millennium Prize problems solved by the end of 2026?8%▼37.7Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 14-20?1%▼16.4

Event · resolves around 2026-10-21

Democrats — election · Oct 2026

2 related contracts across Polymarket · $98K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Polymarket14%-1.0 pts71Developing
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Polymarket26%0.0 pts56Developing

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