Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
Source: Polymarket price history
The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Last probability before deadline
- 0.9%
- Event deadline
- November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- open
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 0.9%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Market data as of
- November 4, 2026 at 9:26 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- November 4, 2026 at 9:26 AM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Awaiting resolution
- Data updated
- just now
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.