ProbCastOdds Reliability
TodayTop MoversMarketsWhat ChangedAccuracyWatchlist
⌘K
Checking…
Hot Markets
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?74%▲61.0Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?15%▲13.3Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?15%▼34.0Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?5%▼11.4Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?35%▲30.9Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?0%▼12.0Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?100%▲13.4Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?24%▲3.0Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August?28%▲25.2Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 20?68%▼9.1Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?12%▲4.0Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?32%▲18.8US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?11%▼7.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?6%▼3.0US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?89%▲3.0Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?30%▼4.5
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?74%▲61.0Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?15%▲13.3Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?15%▼34.0Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?5%▼11.4Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?35%▲30.9Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?0%▼12.0Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?100%▲13.4Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?24%▲3.0Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August?28%▲25.2Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 20?68%▼9.1Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?12%▲4.0Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?32%▲18.8US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?11%▼7.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?6%▼3.0US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?89%▲3.0Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?30%▼4.5
Home/Crypto/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 19?
PolymarketCryptoUpdated 13m ago

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 19?

Final price
100.0%
+32.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Final market price
100.0%
Event deadline
August 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 19? The final Polymarket price was 100.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Market data as of
August 19, 2026 at 12:22 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
August 19, 2026 at 12:35 PM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
August 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
13m ago

What this market actually measures

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market data

24h volume

$173.5K

Score breakdown — Movement, Liquidity & Trust

ProbCast Trust Score

0/ 100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

ProbCast measures how reliable this market probability appears — not what to trade.

Liquidity

Insufficient data — this venue reports no volume or book depth for this market, so liquidity can't be measured (unknown, not necessarily poor).

Related markets

Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August?

28%YESTrust 23
Polymarket$39.5K 24h

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?

0%YESTrust 67
Polymarket$35.8K 24h

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?

1%YESTrust 54
Polymarket
ProbCast — Odds Reliability

Know whether prediction-market odds can be trusted. ProbCast analyzes liquidity, market activity, spreads, and price movement to help distinguish meaningful repricing from thin-market noise.

Questions? Chat with us on Telegram
TodayTop MoversEventsAll MarketsWhat ChangedVenue DivergencePolymarket vs KalshiMethodologyCoverageMeta's ArenaWatchlistTerms of UsePrivacyCrypto

Liquidity

$0

Total volume

$202.4K

Category
Crypto
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
—
Spread
0.1 pts
Best bid
99.9%
Best ask
100.0%
7-day range
66.6% – 100.0%
Resolves
Aug 19, 2026

Trust breakdown

0/100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

  • Liquidity anchor+43
  • Price steadiness+0
  • Missing market data-15
  • Thin liquidity-20
  • Past deadline-25
  • Limited history-8
  • Big move, weak support-10
Trust score0 / 100
How these scores work →
View on Polymarket

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

$35.9K 24h

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 20?

100%YESTrust 67
Polymarket$95.8K 24h

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?

4%YESTrust 61
Polymarket$76.6K 24h

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?

15%YESTrust 58
Polymarket$148.6K 24h
Macro / Fed
Politics
AI / Tech
Geopolitics

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. ProbCast is not a betting platform, exchange, or broker and does not provide buy or sell recommendations. Intended for users 18+; availability of prediction-market activity varies by jurisdiction. Venue data is aggregated from third parties and may be delayed or inaccurate. See our Terms of Use.

Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

© 2026 ProbCast · [email protected]