PolymarketGeopoliticsUpdated 1h ago

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?

Final price
100.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyPolymarket

Source: Polymarket price history

Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Final market price
100.0%
Event deadline
November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
Probability 24 hours before event deadline
100.0%
Probability seven days before event deadline
100.0%
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? The final Polymarket price was 100.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Market data as of
October 23, 2026 at 4:02 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
October 23, 2026 at 5:22 PM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
1h ago

What this market actually measures

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

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