Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?
Source: Polymarket price history
This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.
- Final market price
- 100.0%
- Event deadline
- October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 100.0%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31? The final Polymarket price was 100.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.
- Market data as of
- October 25, 2026 at 3:12 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 25, 2026 at 3:39 PM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 27m ago
What this market actually measures
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.