Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Source: Polymarket price history
This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.
- Final market price
- 100.0%
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 100.0%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 100.0%
- Venue status
- resolved
- Resolution source
- ballondor.com
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? The final Polymarket price was 100.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.
- Market data as of
- October 26, 2026 at 9:11 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 26, 2026 at 11:25 PM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 2h ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d…
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: ballondor.com