Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?92%28.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?7%28.4Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?100%15.2Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?1%0.2Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?1%0.1Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?0%0.2US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?100%0.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?100%0.0US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?100%0.0US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?100%0.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?0%0.0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?0%0.0Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?100%0.0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?0%0.0Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? 0%0.0US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?0%0.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?92%28.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?7%28.4Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?100%15.2Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?1%0.2Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?1%0.1Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?0%0.2US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?100%0.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?100%0.0US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?100%0.0US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?100%0.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?0%0.0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?0%0.0Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?100%0.0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?0%0.0Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? 0%0.0US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?0%0.0

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