Ethereum Up or Down on August 25?
The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Last probability before deadline
- 1.9%
- Event deadline
- August 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
- Venue status
- open
- Resolution source
- binance.com
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Ethereum Up or Down on August 25? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 1.9%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Market data as of
- August 25, 2026 at 11:58 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- August 25, 2026 at 12:08 PM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- August 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
- Market status
- Awaiting resolution
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 25 '26 12…
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution source: binance.com