Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Last probability before deadline
- 0.1%
- Event deadline
- September 9, 2026 at 3:05 PM ET
- Venue status
- open
- Resolution source
- data.chain.link
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 0.1%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Market data as of
- September 9, 2026 at 6:12 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 9, 2026 at 6:25 PM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- September 9, 2026 at 3:05 PM ET
- Market status
- Awaiting resolution
- Data updated
- 12m ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down".
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: data.chain.link
Market data
24h volume
$70.1K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Total volume
$70.1K
- Category
- Crypto
- Venue
- Polymarket
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- 0.0 pts
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 0.1%
- 7-day range
- 0.1% – 0.5%
- Resolves
- Sep 9, 2026
- Resolution
- data.chain.link