LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?80%54.0LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?96%47.5LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?24%12.5Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?26%10.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?72%26.5LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?98%1.4Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?54%15.0LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?92%9.5Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?19%8.3Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?60%6.5Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 10?4%3.0Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?66%38.4Will Trump give American adults $5000 each if the republicans win the midterms11%27.7Will my this market post cross 1M Mana mark? (THIS ONE)80%56.9Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?46%1.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?54%1.0
PolymarketCryptoUpdated 44d ago

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Final price
100.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Final market price
100.0%
Event deadline
July 27, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET
Venue status
resolved
Resolution source
data.chain.link

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET The final Polymarket price was 100.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Market data as of
July 27, 2026 at 11:31 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 10, 2026 at 5:11 AM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
July 27, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
44d ago

What this market actually measures

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down".

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Resolution source: data.chain.link

Market data

24h volume

$74.5K

Liquidity

$29.7K

Total volume

$74.5K

Category
Crypto
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
Spread
1.0 pts
Best bid
99.0%
Best ask
100.0%
Resolves
Jul 27, 2026
Resolution
data.chain.link

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