ProbCastOdds Reliability
TodayTop MoversMarketsWhat ChangedAccuracyWatchlist
⌘K
Checking…
Hot Markets
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?61%▲16.2Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?29%▲9.2Bitcoin Up or Down on August 27?100%▲50.4Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 27?100%▲54.8Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?13%▲8.0Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?39%▼53.5Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?18%▼12.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 27?91%▲58.8Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?11%▲10.4Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?7%▼26.6Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?29%▲9.0Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?98%▲9.9US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?35%▼6.0Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?46%▲9.5Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 27?100%▲7.5NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?3%▼0.5
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?61%▲16.2Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?29%▲9.2Bitcoin Up or Down on August 27?100%▲50.4Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 27?100%▲54.8Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?13%▲8.0Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?39%▼53.5Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?18%▼12.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 27?91%▲58.8Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?11%▲10.4Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?7%▼26.6Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?29%▲9.0Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?98%▲9.9US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?35%▼6.0Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?46%▲9.5Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 27?100%▲7.5NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?3%▼0.5
Home/Crypto/Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9AM ET
PolymarketCryptoUpdated 6m ago

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9AM ET

Last traded probability
100.0%
+49.4 pts
past 24h
Awaiting resolution

The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Last probability before deadline
100.0%
Event deadline
August 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Venue status
open
Resolution source
binance.com

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9AM ET The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 100.0%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Market data as of
August 27, 2026 at 11:22 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
August 27, 2026 at 11:28 AM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
August 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Market status
Awaiting resolution

Market data

24h volume

$75.5K

Liquidity

$233K

Total volume

$0

Category
Crypto
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
—
Score breakdown — Movement, Liquidity & Trust

ProbCast Trust Score

17/ 100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

ProbCast measures how reliable this market probability appears — not what to trade.

Liquidity85

Depth of the order book and volume

Related markets

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 27?

100%YESTrust 31
Polymarket$184.2K 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 27, 2026 at 12pm EDT?

1%YESTrust 0
Kalshi$0 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 27, 2026 at 12pm EDT?

1%YESTrust 0
ProbCast — Odds Reliability

Know whether prediction-market odds can be trusted. ProbCast analyzes liquidity, market activity, spreads, and price movement to help distinguish meaningful repricing from thin-market noise.

Questions? Chat with us on Telegram
TodayTop MoversEventsAll MarketsWhat ChangedVenue DivergencePolymarket vs KalshiMethodologyCoverageMeta's ArenaWatchlistTerms of UsePrivacyCrypto
Data updated
6m ago
Spread
0.1 pts
Best bid
99.9%
Best ask
100.0%
7-day range
50.5% – 100.0%
Resolves
Aug 27, 2026
Resolution
binance.com

Trust breakdown

17/100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

  • Liquidity anchor+59
  • Price steadiness+0
  • Past deadline-25
  • Limited history-8
  • Big move, weak support-10
Trust score17 / 100
How these scores work →
View on Polymarket

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

Kalshi
$0 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 27, 2026 at 12pm EDT?

1%YESTrust 0
Kalshi$0 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 27, 2026 at 12pm EDT?

1%YESTrust 0
Kalshi$0 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 27, 2026 at 12pm EDT?

1%YESTrust 0
Kalshi$0 24h
Macro / Fed
Politics
AI / Tech
Geopolitics

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. ProbCast is not a betting platform, exchange, or broker and does not provide buy or sell recommendations. Intended for users 18+; availability of prediction-market activity varies by jurisdiction. Venue data is aggregated from third parties and may be delayed or inaccurate. See our Terms of Use.

Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

© 2026 ProbCast · [email protected]