Will Trump’s 9pm address “shock” me? [SHORT FUSE]
Final price
14.6%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 14.6%.
- Final market price
- 14.6%
- Event deadline
- July 16, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Trump’s 9pm address “shock” me? [SHORT FUSE] The final Manifold price was 14.6%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 14.6%.
- Market data as of
- July 20, 2026 at 8:47 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 22, 2026 at 10:06 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 16, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 94d ago