ManifoldPoliticsUpdated 47d ago
Will Trump’s 9pm address “shock” me? [SHORT FUSE]
Final price
14.6%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 14.6%.
- Final market price
- 14.6%
- Event deadline
- July 16, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Trump’s 9pm address “shock” me? [SHORT FUSE] The final Manifold price was 14.6%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 14.6%.
- Market data as of
- July 20, 2026 at 8:47 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 16, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 47d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ198.7
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ198.7
- Category
- Politics
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 14.6%
- Resolves
- Jul 16, 2026
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