Will Toronto bike lanes be removed due to Doug Ford? [v2]
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 89.2%.
- Final market price
- 89.2%
- Event deadline
- August 14, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 89.2%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 89.2%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Toronto bike lanes be removed due to Doug Ford? [v2] The final Manifold price was 89.2%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 89.2%.
- Market data as of
- October 17, 2026 at 10:40 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 14, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 3d ago
What this market actually measures
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/bike-lane-removal-appeal-court-decision-9.7307310 If any Toronto bike lanes are removed due to this ruling, this will resolve YES. Removal for unrelated reasons (construction, damage, etc) does not count.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/bike-lane-removal-appeal-court-decision-9.7307310 If any Toronto bike lanes are removed due to this ruling, this will resolve YES. Removal for unrelated reasons (construction, damage, etc) does not count. Reaching the resolution date with no bike lane removal will resolve NO. If Ford publicly calls off the removal (for example due to an agreement with the city), this will resolve NO early. This market resolves in 12 months from the court overturn announcement on Aug 14. I may trade in this market. Previously: (https://manifold.markets/embed/makeworld/will-toronto-bike-lanes-be-removed)