Will there be a fourth Korean Nobel Prize winner in 2026? Diaspora counts.
Final price
6.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 6.0%.
- Final market price
- 6.0%
- Event deadline
- October 10, 2026 at 1:22 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will there be a fourth Korean Nobel Prize winner in 2026? Diaspora counts. The final Manifold price was 6.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 6.0%.
- Market data as of
- October 12, 2026 at 10:08 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:39 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- October 10, 2026 at 1:22 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 9d ago
What this market actually measures
List of Korean Nobel laureates and nominees - Wikipedia
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
List of Korean Nobel laureates and nominees - Wikipedia
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