Will the S&P 500 close higher on Tuesday, October 27, 2026 than on Monday, October 26, 2026?
Source: Manifold price history
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 58.0%.
- Final market price
- 58.0%
- Event deadline
- October 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will the S&P 500 close higher on Tuesday, October 27, 2026 than on Monday, October 26, 2026? The final Manifold price was 58.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 58.0%.
- Market data as of
- October 28, 2026 at 3:28 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 28, 2026 at 3:33 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- October 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 5m ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves YES if the official S&P 500 closing level on Tuesday, October 27, 2026 is strictly higher than the official close on Monday, October 26, 2026, per S&P Dow Jones Indices, Google Finance or Yahoo Finance (^GSPC). Resolves NO if equal or lower.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves YES if the official S&P 500 closing level on Tuesday, October 27, 2026 is strictly higher than the official close on Monday, October 26, 2026, per S&P Dow Jones Indices, Google Finance or Yahoo Finance (^GSPC). Resolves NO if equal or lower. Resolves N/A if US markets are closed on October 27, 2026. Trading closes October 27, 2026 at 15:00 Paris time, before the US open. The creator will not bet on this market.