Will the CFTC clear Polymarket for US traders by end of 2027?

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Resolution

Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if, on or before December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) officially clears, registers, or issues an order/regulatory relief that permits U.S. residents to legally trade on Polymarket's primary, on-chain global exchange (polymarket.com), OR if Polymarket officially removes the U.S. geoblock/IP restriction from its main global platform pursuant to such CFTC clearance. This market resolves to NO if, by the deadline, U.S. residents remain geoblocked/restricted from trading on the main, global, on-chain exchange, even if they are permitted to trade on a separate, domestic, intermediated platform (such as Polymarket US / QCX LLC). Source of truth: The resolution will be verified using official filings and press releases from the CFTC, official announcements from Polymarket, or reports from reputable financial media outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, or The Wall Street Journal). Background Following a January 2022 settlement with the CFTC over operating an unregistered facility, Polymarket paid a $1.4 million fine and agreed to geoblock U.S. residents from its main on-chain platform. In late 2025, Polymarket acquired QCEX (comprising QCX LLC and QC Clearing LLC), securing CFTC approval to operate "Polymarket US" as an intermediated Designated Contract Market (DCM). However, this domestic venue remains structurally distinct from the primary, crypto-native global exchange. In April 2026, reports emerged that Polymarket has entered discussions with the CFTC seeking approval to integrate its main on-chain platform back into the U.S., allowing domestic traders direct access to its primary market ecosystem.