Will someone prove Empty in bend2 within 48 hours of its launch?
Final price
16.4%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 16.4%.
- Final market price
- 16.4%
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 16.4%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 16.4%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will someone prove Empty in bend2 within 48 hours of its launch? The final Manifold price was 16.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 16.4%.
- Market data as of
- October 23, 2026 at 5:52 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 7m ago
What this market actually measures
Stove Jebs (@JebsSteve0x1) on X [link preview]
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Stove Jebs (@JebsSteve0x1) on X [link preview]
Related markets
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
2%YESTrust 53
Polymarket$36K 24h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
0%YESTrust 82
Polymarket$112.5K 24h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
0%YESTrust 92
Polymarket$338.7K 24h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
94%YESTrust 85
Polymarket$1.3M 24h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
0%YESTrust 84
Polymarket$588.3K 24h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
7%YESTrust 79
Polymarket$784.2K 24h