Will Man United defeat Man City?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 32.1%.
- Final market price
- 32.1%
- Event deadline
- September 13, 2026 at 11:20 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Man United defeat Man City? The final Manifold price was 32.1%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 32.1%.
- Market data as of
- September 16, 2026 at 12:18 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 29, 2026 at 10:11 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 13, 2026 at 11:20 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 43d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if Manchester United defeats Manchester City in their Premier League match on Sunday, September 13, 2026. If Manchester City wins or the match ends in a draw, the market will resolve to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if Manchester United defeats Manchester City in their Premier League match on Sunday, September 13, 2026. If Manchester City wins or the match ends in a draw, the market will resolve to NO. If the match is postponed, the market will remain open and resolve based on the rescheduled fixture between the two teams. Official match results will be verified using the Premier League Official Website. Background The first Manchester Derby of the 2026–27 Premier League season takes place on Matchday 4 at Old Trafford. Both clubs are navigating transitions: Manchester City is under the leadership of Pep Guardiola's successor, Enzo Maresca, and has started the season with three consecutive league wins. Meanwhile, Manchester United, managed by Michael Carrick in his first full season, seeks to bounce back from an inconsistent start to their campaign. Manchester United won the last derby at Old Trafford (2–0) in January 2026. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.