Will I qualify for the 2027 USA TSTST?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 42.0%.
- Final market price
- 42.0%
- Event deadline
- August 31, 2027 at 7:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 42.0%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 42.0%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I qualify for the 2027 USA TSTST? The final Manifold price was 42.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 42.0%.
- Market data as of
- June 24, 2026 at 5:44 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 31, 2027 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 73d ago
What this market actually measures
I will do my best on TSTST. Past results: AMM Gold - 77671 predicted 100776 USAMO 2026 717674 USAJMO 2025 (i believe my J2 solution was correct) 770370 USAJMO 2024
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
I will do my best on TSTST. Past results: AMM Gold - 77671 predicted 100776 USAMO 2026 717674 USAJMO 2025 (i believe my J2 solution was correct) 770370 USAJMO 2024
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ0
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ662.8
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 42.0%
- Resolves
- Aug 31, 2027