Will I finish Ironman 70.3 Ohio in under 4h30m?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 50.0%.
- Final market price
- 50.0%
- Event deadline
- July 26, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I finish Ironman 70.3 Ohio in under 4h30m? The final Manifold price was 50.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 50.0%.
- Market data as of
- July 31, 2026 at 12:31 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:41 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 26, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 82d ago
What this market actually measures
I am doing Ironman 70.3 Ohio on July 19, 2026. This consists of a 1.2 mile swim, 56 mile bike, and 13.1 mile run done consecutively.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
I am doing Ironman 70.3 Ohio on July 19, 2026. This consists of a 1.2 mile swim, 56 mile bike, and 13.1 mile run done consecutively. Last year I finished IM70.3 Chattanooga in 3h 54m (there was no swim), and IM70.3 Rockford in 4h 53m (temperature was over 100). My goal times are 35 minutes for the swim, 135 minutes for the bike, and 90 minutes for the run, which gives me wiggle room for transitions.