Will Haley Stevens endorse Abdul El-Sayed by Sunday?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 7.2%.
- Final market price
- 7.2%
- Event deadline
- August 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Haley Stevens endorse Abdul El-Sayed by Sunday? The final Manifold price was 7.2%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 7.2%.
- Market data as of
- August 12, 2026 at 9:13 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- November 4, 2026 at 9:29 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 84d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves YES if, via any official announcement, Haley Stevens endorses AES for Senate by EOD Sunday. Resolves NO otherwise.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves YES if, via any official announcement, Haley Stevens endorses AES for Senate by EOD Sunday. Resolves NO otherwise. Update 2026-08-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve YES, Haley Stevens must explicitly use the word "endorse" (or direct variations). General statements of support (e.g., "looking forward to helping defeat Rogers") will not count as an endorsement. Update 2026-08-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve YES, Haley Stevens must explicitly use the word endorse (or direct variations such as endorsed or endorsement). General statements of preference (e.g., saying she wants his opponent to lose, or that she will support his campaign against another person) will not count. Qualifying statements can occur during any campaign stop, social media post, news comment, or press release.