ManifoldCryptoUpdated 59d ago
Will GPT 5.6 Sol and Claude Fable 5 become broadly available to US customers on the same day?
Final price
17.2%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 17.2%.
- Final market price
- 17.2%
- Event deadline
- September 1, 2027 at 6:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 17.2%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 17.2%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will GPT 5.6 Sol and Claude Fable 5 become broadly available to US customers on the same day? The final Manifold price was 17.2%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 17.2%.
- Market data as of
- July 8, 2026 at 4:03 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:03 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 1, 2027 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 59d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ191
Liquidity
Ṁ1K
Total volume
Ṁ1.9K
- Category
- Crypto
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 17.2%
- Resolves
- Sep 1, 2027