Will GPT 5.6 Sol and Claude Fable 5 become broadly available to US customers on the same day?
Final price
17.2%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 17.2%.
- Final market price
- 17.2%
- Event deadline
- September 1, 2027 at 6:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 17.2%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 17.2%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will GPT 5.6 Sol and Claude Fable 5 become broadly available to US customers on the same day? The final Manifold price was 17.2%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 17.2%.
- Market data as of
- July 8, 2026 at 4:03 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 1, 2027 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 105d ago