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ManifoldCryptoUpdated 59d ago

Will GPT 5.6 Sol and Claude Fable 5 become broadly available to US customers on the same day?

Final price
17.2%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 17.2%.

Final market price
17.2%
Event deadline
September 1, 2027 at 6:59 PM ET
Probability 24 hours before event deadline
17.2%
Probability seven days before event deadline
17.2%
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will GPT 5.6 Sol and Claude Fable 5 become broadly available to US customers on the same day? The final Manifold price was 17.2%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 17.2%.

Market data as of
July 8, 2026 at 4:03 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:03 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
September 1, 2027 at 6:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
59d ago

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ191

Liquidity

Ṁ1K

Total volume

Ṁ1.9K

Category
Crypto
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
17.2%
Resolves
Sep 1, 2027