Will Colorado Proposition NN (keeping excess revenue for K-12 schools) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?

This market resolves YES if Colorado Proposition NN (State Public K-12 Education Funding) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule: Simple majority of votes cast (SOS: 'Passes with a majority vote. Referred to the voters by state legislature.') Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented. What the votes mean (official summary): YES: State may keep revenue above the TABOR limit to increase K-12 spending 2%/yr for 10 years (per ballot question). NO: No change to the spending limit for this purpose; above-cap revenue continues to be refunded. Results: resolves on the result certified by Colorado Secretary of State (official statewide canvass); takes effect on Governor's proclamation. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls. No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A. Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution. Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast. Official source: https://www.coloradosos.gov/pubs/elections/Initiatives/ballot/contacts/2026.html