Will Colorado Proposition 133 (penalties for trafficking of a minor) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?

This market resolves YES if Colorado Proposition 133 (Penalties for Human Trafficking of a Minor) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule: Simple majority of votes cast on the measure (statutory; SOS/Blue Book: 'Passes with a majority vote') Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented. What the votes mean (official summary): YES: Life without parole for child sex trafficking; crime expanded to buying sex with a minor (Blue Book). NO: Keeps current felony penalties (8-48 years plus mandatory parole) (Blue Book). Results: resolves on the result certified by Colorado Secretary of State (official statewide canvass); takes effect on Governor's proclamation. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls. No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A. Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution. Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast. Official source: https://leg.colorado.gov/ballots/penalties-for-human-trafficking-of-a-minor-2/files/blue-book