Will Bitcoin close daily candle above $66,000 on August 6?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 7.2%.
- Final market price
- 7.2%
- Event deadline
- August 6, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Bitcoin close daily candle above $66,000 on August 6? The final Manifold price was 7.2%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 7.2%.
- Market data as of
- August 9, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 20, 2026 at 4:36 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 6, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 41d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the daily candle close for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on August 6, 2026, is strictly above $66,000.00. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the daily candle close for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on August 6, 2026, is strictly above $66,000.00. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO. Timezone Standard: The daily candle refers to the standard UTC day, closing at 23:59:59 UTC on August 6, 2026. Primary Source of Truth: The "Close" price of the August 6, 2026 daily candle on the TradingView Coinbase BTCUSD Daily Chart. Fallback: If Coinbase data on TradingView is unavailable, the Binance BTCUSDT daily close on TradingView or official historical daily data from CoinGecko will serve as the fallback source of truth. Background As of August 5, 2026, Bitcoin is consolidating in the $64,000 to $64,500 range. The price action has remained highly bounded recently, with underwater buyers capping rallies near the $65,500 resistance level. A successful daily close above $66,000 on August 6 would represent a break of this short-term resistance. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ898.8
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ956.5
- Category
- Crypto
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 7.2%
- Resolves
- Aug 6, 2026