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ManifoldCryptoUpdated 41d ago

Will Bitcoin close daily candle above $66,000 on August 6?

Final price
7.2%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 7.2%.

Final market price
7.2%
Event deadline
August 6, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Bitcoin close daily candle above $66,000 on August 6? The final Manifold price was 7.2%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 7.2%.

Market data as of
August 9, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 20, 2026 at 4:36 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
August 6, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
41d ago

What this market actually measures

Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the daily candle close for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on August 6, 2026, is strictly above $66,000.00. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the daily candle close for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on August 6, 2026, is strictly above $66,000.00. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO. Timezone Standard: The daily candle refers to the standard UTC day, closing at 23:59:59 UTC on August 6, 2026. Primary Source of Truth: The "Close" price of the August 6, 2026 daily candle on the TradingView Coinbase BTCUSD Daily Chart. Fallback: If Coinbase data on TradingView is unavailable, the Binance BTCUSDT daily close on TradingView or official historical daily data from CoinGecko will serve as the fallback source of truth. Background As of August 5, 2026, Bitcoin is consolidating in the $64,000 to $64,500 range. The price action has remained highly bounded recently, with underwater buyers capping rallies near the $65,500 resistance level. A successful daily close above $66,000 on August 6 would represent a break of this short-term resistance. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ898.8

Liquidity

Ṁ100

Total volume

Ṁ956.5

Category
Crypto
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
7.2%
Resolves
Aug 6, 2026

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