ManifoldPlay moneyCryptoUpdated 57d ago

Will Bitcoin be higher on Saturday?

Final price
99.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold

Not enough price history for this range yet.

Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)

Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.

Final market price
99.0%
Event deadline
August 22, 2026 at 1:27 AM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Bitcoin be higher on Saturday? The final Manifold price was 99.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.

Market data as of
August 25, 2026 at 1:18 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
October 21, 2026 at 4:41 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
August 22, 2026 at 1:27 AM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
57d ago

What this market actually measures

Will Bitcoin be above $63,489.58 on Saturday? YES if Bitcoin is above $63,489.58 at 12:00 AM UTC on Saturday, August 22, 2026.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

Will Bitcoin be above $63,489.58 on Saturday? YES if Bitcoin is above $63,489.58 at 12:00 AM UTC on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Otherwise, NO. Equivalent times: 12:00 AM UTC — Saturday, August 22 8:00 PM New York (EDT) — Friday, August 21 5:00 PM Los Angeles (PDT) — Friday, August 21 1:00 AM London (BST) — Saturday, August 22 Resolution Criteria This market resolves to YES if the Bitcoin (BTC-USD) price at 12:00 AM UTC on August 22, 2026 is higher than $63,489.58. It resolves to NO if the price is $63,489.58 or lower. Source of Truth The primary source of truth is Yahoo Finance BTC-USD price data. Reference Price The reference price is $63,489.58, representing the Bitcoin price when this market was created. Fallback Rule If Yahoo Finance is unavailable, contains erroneous data, or does not provide the required data within 24 hours, TradingView will be used instead. The Coinbase BTC-USD feed will be preferred, with Binance BTC-USDT used if Coinbase is unavailable.

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